Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001956 0.002075 0.002198 0.002335 0.002483 0.002639 0.002815
2025-05-11 0.001824 0.001996 0.002182 0.002398 0.002643 0.002914 0.003237
2025-05-18 0.001704 0.001910 0.002138 0.002413 0.002736 0.003106 0.003567
2025-05-25 0.001579 0.001802 0.002056 0.002369 0.002748 0.003196 0.003773
2025-06-01 0.001488 0.001724 0.001999 0.002345 0.002776 0.003299 0.003994
2025-06-08 0.001431 0.001681 0.001978 0.002361 0.002848 0.003455 0.004286
2025-06-15 0.001363 0.001620 0.001931 0.002338 0.002867 0.003542 0.004489
2025-06-22 0.001307 0.001571 0.001893 0.002324 0.002893 0.003636 0.004705
2025-06-29 0.001253 0.001521 0.001852 0.002301 0.002906 0.003710 0.004894
2025-07-06 0.001200 0.001469 0.001806 0.002269 0.002902 0.003760 0.005050
2025-07-13 0.001139 0.001404 0.001740 0.002206 0.002851 0.003740 0.005101
2025-07-20 0.001112 0.001383 0.001730 0.002217 0.002904 0.003866 0.005375
2025-07-27 0.001094 0.001374 0.001739 0.002260 0.003009 0.004082 0.005814
2025-08-03 0.001085 0.001377 0.001763 0.002325 0.003148 0.004360 0.006375
2025-08-10 0.001058 0.001355 0.001753 0.002339 0.003216 0.004532 0.006782
2025-08-17 0.001014 0.001308 0.001705 0.002297 0.003195 0.004566 0.006962
2025-08-24 0.000980 0.001272 0.001672 0.002275 0.003202 0.004644 0.007220
2025-08-31 0.000959 0.001256 0.001664 0.002290 0.003267 0.004816 0.007659
2025-09-07 0.000929 0.001224 0.001634 0.002268 0.003272 0.004891 0.007926
2025-09-14 0.000903 0.001197 0.001609 0.002255 0.003289 0.004985 0.008236
2025-09-21 0.000876 0.001168 0.001581 0.002233 0.003291 0.005053 0.008503
2025-09-28 0.000849 0.001137 0.001548 0.002202 0.003277 0.005092 0.008714
2025-10-05 0.000814 0.001094 0.001496 0.002141 0.003208 0.005031 0.008722